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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ntour.ntou.edu.tw:8080/ir/handle/987654321/50570

Authors: Tai-Yi Chu
Jyun-Long Lee
Wen-Cheng Huang
Contributors: 國立臺灣海洋大學:河海工程學系
Keywords: climate change
Shihmen reservoir
tank model
Date: 2016-10
Issue Date: 2018-10-15T08:39:17Z
Publisher: Journal of Marine Science and Technology
Abstract: Abstract: This study evaluated the impact of climate change on the
water supply of the Shihmen reservoir in northern Taiwan.
Five downscaled general circulation models that represent the
daily meteorological data of 2046-2065 were adopted. The future
inflow of the Shihmen reservoir was estimated using the tank
model. Subsequently, the water supply risk under the given demand
and operating conditions was simulated and assessed.
Compared with 2004-2011, the average annual precipitation
of the Shihmen watershed in 2046-2065 is lower, particularly
during the wet season (May-October). Therefore, the risk to the
water supply will increase in the first cropping season (from
March to June) in the future. To reduce the risk of water shortage
caused by public demand, irrigation fallowing during the
cropping season is necessary.
Relation: 24(6) pp.1093-1104
URI: http://ntour.ntou.edu.tw:8080/ir/handle/987654321/50570
Appears in Collections:[河海工程學系] 期刊論文

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