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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ntour.ntou.edu.tw:8080/ir/handle/987654321/29659

Title: 「東協加三」對兩岸農漁產品貿易之影響
The Impact of ASEAN Plus Three on the Cross-Strait Agricultural Products Trade
Authors: Yi-An Liu
Contributors: NTOU:Institute of Applied Economics
Keywords: 東協加三;農漁產品;綜合經濟衝擊指標
ASEAN Plus Three;agricultural products;synthetic economic impact indicators
Date: 2011
Issue Date: 2011-11-23T02:44:56Z
Abstract: 近年來台灣農漁產品佔GDP比重逐年下降,且未來「東協加三」的成立持續影響著台灣農漁產品,因此,台灣的農漁產品面臨極大的調整壓力。本文利用1999年至2008年之間的貿易資料,旨在編製兩岸綜合經濟衝擊指標,來探討未來「東協加三」的成立後,對台灣農漁產品造成哪些程度上的衝擊。主要的發現如下: (1)就個別農漁產品本身可能面臨的衝擊程度而言,在2008年衝擊最大的農漁產品依序為食品/配製品(SITC 098)、生鮮魚類(含活體)/冷藏/冷凍之甲殼類/軟體動物(SITC 036)和生鮮魚類(含活體)/冷藏/冷凍/切片魚類(SITC 034)。(2)若加入兩岸農漁產品比較利益變化來看,在2008年衝擊最大的農漁產品依序為食品/配製品(SITC 098)、生鮮魚類(含活體)/冷藏/冷凍之甲殼類/軟體動物(SITC 036)和生鮮魚類(含活體)/冷藏/冷凍/切片魚類(SITC 034)。(3)以台灣所有出口農漁產品在中國大陸之綜合經濟衝擊程度來看,在2008年衝擊最大的農漁產品為生鮮魚類(含活體)/冷藏/冷凍/切片魚類(SITC 034),其餘依序為食品/配製品(SITC 098)、生鮮魚類(含活體)/冷藏/冷凍之甲殼類/軟體動物(SITC 036)。
In recent years, the GDP share of agricultural products of Taiwan have become lower and lower. The formation of “ASEAN Plus Three”keeps affecting agricultural products of Taiwan in the future. Thus, the agricultural products of Taiwan will face a substantial negative impact. This paper applies cross-strait synthetic economic impact indicators to analyze the future cross-strait agricultural products degree of economic impact in the international market trends from 1999 to 2008. The major findings are as follows: (1) Among the individual agricultural products impact, the serious impact of agricultural products are edible products/preparations (SITC 098), crustaceans and molluscs/fresh/chilled/ frozen(SITC 036) and fish/fresh(live or dead)/chilled/frozen(SITC 034). (2) If we take cross-strait agricultural products comparative advantage into consideration, the largest impact of agricultural products also are edible products/preparations(SITC 098), crustaceans and molluscs/ fresh/ chilled/frozen(SITC 036) and fish/fresh(live or dead)/chilled/frozen(SITC 034). (3) When we take all exported agricultural products degree of economic impact in China into consideration, the hardest impact of agricultural products are fish/fresh(live or dead)/chilled/frozen(SITC 034), edible products/preparations(SITC 098) and crustaceans and molluscs/ fresh/chilled/frozen(SITC 036).
URI: http://ethesys.lib.ntou.edu.tw/cdrfb3/record/#G0M98350006
Appears in Collections:[應用經濟研究所] 博碩士論文

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