English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Items with full text/Total items : 26988/38789
Visitors : 2313722      Online Users : 29
RC Version 4.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Adv. Search
LoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ntour.ntou.edu.tw:8080/ir/handle/987654321/26703

Title: Economic analysis and market price forecast for milk fish culture in Taiwan
Authors: 繆峽;鄭紹謙
Contributors: NTOU:Department of Aquaculture
國立臺灣海洋大學:水產養殖學系
Keywords: Milk fish;Production economic;Time series;Seasonal ARIMA
Date: 2008
Issue Date: 2011-10-21T02:18:21Z
Publisher: 水產年會
Abstract: Abstract:Milk fish has always been an important aquaculture species in Taiwan, the culture area is only less than tilapia’s, and the quantity of year ranks 8th in Taiwan. Although the culture area has been decreasing recently, it’s unit productivity has been maintained the same. The location, production system and biological culture characteristics have a significant effect over it’s production that lead to price fluctuations. These changes affect the income of fishermen and the development of culture in the future.The aim of study is to analyze production costs、economic benefits and market price of milk fish: 1. The economic production analysis aims to understand the current operating cost structure and culture conditions. 2. Setting up the forecast model of market price by using seasonal ARIMA model to analyze time series, providing a useful tool with government and manager to create a suitable fishery policy and scheme. The total operating costs for 2005 and 2006 were 58.5 and 64.7 NTD/kg, respectively. Feed and fertilizer costs had the highest ratio in the operating cost structure, and labor was the second main costs. In tems of production benefits, they had a net revenue deficit. According to the price forecast, origin place price could decline to 2.1% and 4.5% in Oct. and Nov., and Dec. could have 8.4% raise. The consumer price could rise to 74.2、74.9 and 77.0 NTD/kg between Oct. to Dec., the average raise could be 2% .
Relation: pp.23
URI: http://ntour.ntou.edu.tw/handle/987654321/26703
Appears in Collections:[水產養殖學系] 演講及研討會

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.



All items in NTOUR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

 


著作權政策宣告: 本網站之內容為國立臺灣海洋大學所收錄之機構典藏,無償提供學術研究與公眾教育等公益性使用,請合理使用本網站之內容,以尊重著作權人之權益。
網站維護: 海大圖資處 圖書系統組
DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team Copyright ©   - Feedback